Two majors and a 92% win rate: Was Sinner's 2024 season one of the greatest ever?

We take a look at how Jannik Sinner's year stacks up to the Big Three's stats -- and make predictions for him in 2025.
Santos Cummings · 8 days ago · 2 minutes read


Sinner's Historic Ascendancy: Parallels, Rivalries, and a Shadow of Doubt

Sinner's Remarkable 2024: A Spark Ignites

Novak Djokovic had a premonition as he witnessed Jannik Sinner's dominant victory in the 2024 Australian Open. Sinner's stunning 6-1, 6-2, 6-7 (6), 6-3 dismantling of the then-world No. 1 foreshadowed a momentous era in men's tennis.

"He was always very calm, very composed in the court, but I think he struggled maybe to win the big matches in the big moments," Djokovic acknowledged in the post-match press conference. "But now it's coming together for him."

Sinner's Record-Breaking Season: Statistics Tell the Tale

Sinner's 2024 campaign was a symphony of unparalleled success. His 73-6 overall record, an astounding 92.4% winning percentage, eclipsed that of all but the legendary "Big Three" (Djokovic, Roger Federer, and Rafael Nadal).

In fact, Sinner's dominance ratio (DR) of 1.41, a measure of overall performance, ranked among the elite ranks of the Big Three's historic seasons.

The Triple Throne: Sinner as the Heir Apparent?

While Sinner's achievements echo the dominance of the Big Three, one crucial factor differentiates him: the absence of peers at the same level. Unlike Djokovic, Federer, and Nadal, who pushed each other to unimaginable heights, Sinner lacks a consistent rival to elevate his game.

Carlos Alcaraz, Sinner's closest competitor, remains a formidable opponent, but his sporadic drop-shot magic has prevented Sinner from establishing undisputed superiority.

The Shadow of Doubt: Sinner's Doping Case

A cloud hangs over Sinner's remarkable 2024 as he faces a doping case. Positive test results for a banned substance almost derailed his season, but an independent panel ruled the substance entered his system unintentionally, avoiding a suspension.

However, the World Anti-Doping Agency (WADA) is challenging this decision in court, threatening to impose a two-year ban.

2025 and Beyond: The Journey Continues

As Sinner embarks on the 2025 season as the world No. 1, much is at stake. Defending his Australian Open title is a given, but the legendary calendar Grand Slam, a feat not achieved in over 50 years, seems almost within reach.

Sinner's unmatched forehand, potent backhand, and impeccable serve make him nearly unbeatable. The presence of Alcaraz as a rival could push him even further, unlocking new dimensions of his game.

And if Sinner can rise above the shadow of his doping case, his breakthrough 2024 season may become just a taste of the greatness that lies ahead.